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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Statistics Proves Same Drug Both Causes And Does Not Cause Same Cancer

No, the title of today's post is not a joke, even though it has often been used that way in the past. The title was inspired by yesterday's Wall Street…
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Posted inStatistics

Atheists More Motivated By Compassion Than The Faithful?

Why? (Source) Today's title was swiped, word-for-word, from a Live Science press release. This is important because the point I wish to make has to do with how the press…
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Posted inStatistics

Academic Pscyhologists Over-Rely On WEIRD People: Overconfidence Results

It was just over a month ago that tears of joy came to my eyes while reading an academic paper. This was Simmons et alia's "False-Positive Psychology : Undisclosed Flexibility…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Times Weighs In On The Side Of Wayward Nuns

Nicholas D. Kristof is a good polemicist. In his 28 April 2011 piece "We Are All Nuns" he manages to hide and eventually evade the main argument against him via…
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Posted inStatistics

More Analytical Thinkers Are Atheists: Study

Analytical thinking in action (source) Somebody some enterprising young academic, not realizing he should keep his mouth shut before attaining tenure, will publish a study which examines the bizarraries found…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Love Of Theory Is The Root Of All Evil

  Love of truth, on the other hand, is the root of all that is good. Bill Whittle at PJTV very kindly produced a video entitled "Best. Sentence. Ever." (it…
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Posted inStatistics

EPA To Crucify Citizens, Hit ’em Hard As They Can

The EPA hard at work Just a couple of weeks ago I related on this blog a sad tale told to me by (Democrat) lawyers who were mightily displeased that…
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Posted inStatistics

Weapons Make the Man Larger: New Scientific Growth Formula

"Put 'em up, pal!" No, that's not right. Let me try again. "It ain't the size of the man, but the size of the tool he carries." Better, but still…
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  1. shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think

  2. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  3. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  4. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

  5. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

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