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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Breast Cancer Screening Ruins Lives?

Today's title is from the Daily Mail: "The expert branded a woman hater for saying breast cancer screening ruins lives." What could be more sensible than having a mammogram? If…
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Posted inStatistics

Steve Zwick Says Burn The Deniers (Metaphorically)!

There is a scene in Woody Allen's Radio Days in which we see a diminutive old man from Rockaway Beach who, one day, snaps and runs out of his house…
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Posted inStatistics

Brain Atrophy Responsible For Religious Belief?

Readers can help me choose the best metaphor. (1) A snowball which starts the size of a pea but gains in strength and speed as it rolls downhill, mindlessly consuming…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…
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Posted inStatistics

Don’t Drive On Tax Day! You Might Die

This is it. The day to traipse to the post office and mail in your income tax papers. In farm lingo, this is the time swill the pigs. To feed…
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Posted inStatistics

Obama Doesn’t Have A Chance

I have returned from a week away from the computer. Announcements to follow tomorrow. I am going to tell you of several conversations in which I took part over the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update

Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it's a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year's tournament. Scores have been…
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  1. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  3. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

  4. William Ward Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    As usual, most fascinating. This may be a foolish question, but since the minimum score is 200, what happens if…

  5. KGB on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    And if my aunt had balls...

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