Statistics – Page 248 – William M. Briggs

CARB Misinterprets Statistics, Calls For Elimination Of Dust

The California Air Resources Board, or CARB, has issued a press release that shows how easy it is to misunderstand statistics. That most do---fail to comprehend what statistical results are…

Fun Statistics

Are Moneylines Useful In Predicting NFL Games?

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to know how good moneylines were at predicting wins and loses. Since Las Vegas is still in business, it was a good…

Statistics

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…

Statistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

JH on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025
Since your definition of p-values is not entirely correct, FYI - understanding p-values and different meanings of p-value
John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025
To be fair to R.A. Fisher he warned people were over-enthusiastic about applying the tools he provided. He wasn't as…
McChuck on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 21, 2025
"Faster, pussycat! Kill! Kill!" You can't repeat the mantra enough.
gareth on The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In ScienceAugust 20, 2025
"I have answered three six questions, and that is enough," Said his father Briggs; "don't give yourself airs! Do you…
Uncle Mike on Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood PressureAugust 20, 2025
There is a strong, undeniable correlation between Leftism (Marxism, Democrat party membership, Wokeism, MSM, etc.) and the use and adherence…