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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Italian Scientists On Trial For Manslaughter After Failing To Predict Earthquake

Seven Italian geologists have been hauled before an Italian judge---whether in chains or no, we are not informed---and charged with the heinous crime of manslaughter. Specifically, these men are being…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Proving What You Want To Believe

You can always find a way to believe anything. That "always" is strict---the magic of belief, like a card trick with a gaffed deck, can always be worked. But just…
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Posted inStatistics

The Myth Of Killer Mercury: Guest Post By Willie Soon & Paul Driessen

Willie Soon has graciously allowed us to reprint his and Paul Driessen's editorial that ran in the 25 May 2011 Wall Street Journal. Dr Soon received double our normal rate…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

India Aborting Girls At Full Speed: Sex Selection And Demographics

Science is great. It---"it" is always an it, an invisible entity, a guiding sapience, an intelligence that can be looked to for guidance---can now us tell the sex of a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Trolley Problem And Experimental Philosophy

The Trolley Problem, as given by Eric Schwitzgebel (as part of a larger survey): You are standing by the railroad tracks when you notice an empty boxcar rolling out of…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Wishcasting The End Of The World: Update

Wishcasting is when a forecast or prediction is shaded in the direction the forecaster or predictor wants the event to happen. For example, if you forecast this weekend's weather, you…
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Posted inStatistics

Can Telomeres Predict How Long You Will Live?

No, they can't. Not exactly, and perhaps not with sufficient precision to be useful to you. But there is a new company called Life Length who will sell you, for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Belief In God “Rooted” In Human Nature Say Academics

New research has shown---and by "research" I mean a fact long known to citizens is revealed to academics who attach a p-value to it and publish it---"that suggests that religion…
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  1. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    ...and another thing: in Fisher's works first understanding the distribution of what you're measuring in population you are sampling from…

  2. JH on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    Since your definition of p-values is not entirely correct, FYI - understanding p-values and different meanings of p-value

  3. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    To be fair to R.A. Fisher he warned people were over-enthusiastic about applying the tools he provided. He wasn't as…

  4. McChuck on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 21, 2025

    "Faster, pussycat! Kill! Kill!" You can't repeat the mantra enough.

  5. gareth on The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In ScienceAugust 20, 2025

    "I have answered three six questions, and that is enough," Said his father Briggs; "don't give yourself airs! Do you…

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