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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Are 40 Percent of Europeans Mentally Ill?

Forty-percent of a population is a lot. Imagine a street filled with people---European people. Perhaps they are standing in line waiting for their free health care. Four out of ten…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Science? Part I

Science says this, science says that. There is no more loquacious entity these days than science. What is it? Climatologists talk of the science. Physicists compliment by saying a fellow…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Occam’s Razor And Induction

Occam's razor: The simplest hypothesis is usually the best. Simplest is easy to understand, and non-controversial, or relatively so. Consternation creeps in with usually. Before that, first understand what is…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are You Good At Picking Football Games? Edgehogs

I haven't met a die-hard sports fan yet who hasn't claimed to be able to pick games better than everybody else. Just as I haven't met a gambler who hasn't…
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Posted inStatistics

Spencer’s Paper Reviewed; Remote Sensing Editor Wolfgang Wagner Resigns

Politics In one of the most asinine, self-promoting, sniveling, absurd, nakedly political moves Wolfgang Wagner has resigned, with trumpets blazing, his editorship of Remote Sensing. Why? Because the journal under…
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Posted inStatistics

Cosmic Radiation, Clouds, & Global Warming

Rumor is that James Hansen was so upset by CERN's CLOUD experiment results that he and a gaggle of rabid environmentalists stormed the White House and demanded that cosmic rays…
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Posted inStatistics

Mental Illness To Increase Due To Climate Change

Look out! "Climate change is here, now." And it is causing an increase in nuttiness and lunacy among the those that dwell Down Under. Or so says Tony McMichael "AO,…
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Posted inStatistics

The Increased And Increasing Chinese Military

More on matters that don't appear to be as urgent as they are. From the DoD's annual report on Chinese military capability, "In 2004, Hu Jintao articulated a mission statement…
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  1. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  3. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

  4. William Ward Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    As usual, most fascinating. This may be a foolish question, but since the minimum score is 200, what happens if…

  5. KGB on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    And if my aunt had balls...

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