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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

In Their Own Words: Obama On Health, Holder On Race

Pay for your own damn health care In an interview with Bill O'Reilly, President O'bama said What I hear you saying is that the notion that us saying to people…
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Posted inStatistics

A Correction: I’ve Been Misquoted

On Thursday, 3 February of this year I was called by Saginaw News reporter Deborah Brown, who asked me, among other things, about claims made by folks like Al Gore…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Super Bowl Indicator Busted: A Sports/Markets Indicator for the Next Century—Guest Post by Doug Magowan

Doug Magowan spends his days poring over financial numbers. Today he offers us, tongue firmly in cheek, a new way to get rich quick. All you have to do is…
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Posted inStatistics

Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story

I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…
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Posted inStatistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 23, 2025

    P-values enable a lot of shenanigans, and they are dangerous because most of their "honest" users trust them too much…

  2. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    ...and another thing: in Fisher's works first understanding the distribution of what you're measuring in population you are sampling from…

  3. JH on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    Since your definition of p-values is not entirely correct, FYI - understanding p-values and different meanings of p-value

  4. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    To be fair to R.A. Fisher he warned people were over-enthusiastic about applying the tools he provided. He wasn't as…

  5. McChuck on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 21, 2025

    "Faster, pussycat! Kill! Kill!" You can't repeat the mantra enough.

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