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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Replacements for Representation: Bayes From the Ground Up

A primary justification for Bayesian probability is De Finetti's representation theorem, which is stated like this. You are to observe a sequence of 0s and 1s, "failures" and "successes" if…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Finitism, Physics, Cellular Automata: The Universe as Logic

In no way is this article meant to be complete. It is more in the way of musings---a crude introduction---so that we can see where to go. Is the universe…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Postmodernism and the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science

Since I am, by nature, a compassionate individual, I had been thinking of how we might Sokal the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS). It is for their…
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Posted inStatistics

Feigned Surprises of the Week: Journolist and Our New Tax

Said the main-stream journalist on Journolist, "If they of the right wing don't behave and treat our Golden Boy properly, we'll call them racists. It matters not whom we pick…
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Posted inFun Statistics

A Bust—I mean must—Read; Or, An Evolution in Bra Sizes

"Excuse me, miss. Would you care to participate in science?" Sometimes being a statistician is enviable. In a flash of scientific brilliance, Australian statisticians have just completed a massive study…
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Posted inFun Statistics

M. Night Shyamalan, Mel Gibson, and John Wayne

Part II of the Two-Envelope problem was not too friendly, so here's something that is. Via HotAir, I came across the site Marginal Revolution, in which was featured a graph…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part II

Read Part I first. We are in the peek first game here. The distribution of N When X is odd, and all X are discrete, we know we should always…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part I

Another probability "paradox", the two-envelope problem1, goes like this: Before you are two envelopes, A and B. One of them contains $X and the other $2X (which is equivalent to…
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  1. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    John W, Garrett, You are welcome.

  2. Richard S. on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    I'm sorry but must correct the record. I have been a radio fan since the early 1960s -- AM, FM,…

  3. John W. Garrett on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    S.Sgt Briggs, Thanks for this near-perfect example of sophistry and thimble-rigging.

  4. Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…

  5. JDinPA on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    CCReed: That’s a disturbing take on the late Z-Man in at least two senses: 1) If true, Z-Man was perpetrating…

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