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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

St Petersburg Paradox; Games and Statistical Decisions; RIP David Blackwell

David Blackwell, who died two weeks ago, was one of the first mainstream statisticians to "go Bayesian." And for that and his unique skill in clearly explaining difficult ideas, we…
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Posted inStatistics

How to Fool Yourself—And Others—With Statistics

See the news box to the left. I wrote this long ago and never used it. I do not love it. But since I am so busy, I haven't the…
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Posted inStatistics

US Military Fatality Statistics: Have Suicides Increased?

All statistics were gathered from this DOD site. 2010 numbers were current as of 5 June this year; they were not part of the plots below. In 1983, the year…
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Posted inFun Statistics

World Cup Predictions Verified

All that was missing was the water for the players to plunge into. Still, referee Howard Webb must be a fan of the aquatic and artistic sport of diving, and…
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Posted inFun Statistics

The Predictive Skills of Octopii: Paul’s World Cup Prognostications

In Detroit, for that glorious game of soccer-on-ice-with-sticks, we---I still say "we"; you can never separate yourself from your birthplace---know what to do with octopuses, octopii as were: We toss…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Symmetry, Priors, Logical Probability, Infinities, and Needless Paradoxes

One reason why some reject the notions of logical probability and Bayesian statistics is because it is said that assignments of probability under symmetry generate paradoxes. However, as I will…
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Posted inStatistics

Lady Wins Fourth Lottery: What Are the Odds?

I'm in the wild blue yonder today; so here is a distraction. Thanks to reader Jade for suggesting the topic. Nobody can scratch better than Las Vegas resident Joan Ginther,…
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Posted inStatistics

Consensus Members Agree To Agree: Breaking Story

The agreement amongst climatologists who agree that mankind will cause devastating climate change is popularly known as "The Consensus." Those who agree with the consensus are part of the consensus;…
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  1. Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…

  2. JDinPA on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    CCReed: That’s a disturbing take on the late Z-Man in at least two senses: 1) If true, Z-Man was perpetrating…

  3. CCReed on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    A somewhat different take on the late Z-Man: https://bestservedcole.substack.com/p/the-z-man-story

  4. CorkyAgain on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    I think I stopped listening to radio around the time when Paul Harvey was no longer there to tell us…

  5. The True Nolan on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    @Alex: "The other abomination on the am dial is black talk radio. In Chicongo. Pure raciacist hatred of all things…

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