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Class 7: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Intuition Check
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 7: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Intuition Check

Link to all Classes. Video Thanks to an anonymous donor for the gift of the new equipment, which has resulted in a New & Improved! picture and sound. Thanks, too,…
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Class 6: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Probability’s Entrance!
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 6: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Probability’s Entrance!

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Part 1 Rumble Part 2 (Rumble only allows files of < 2 GB) Bitchute HOMEWORK 1. Finish that last step in…
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Are Caps on Atmospheric Emissions of Human Activities Equal to Traffic Rules? — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inStatistics

Are Caps on Atmospheric Emissions of Human Activities Equal to Traffic Rules? — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Introduction Capping atmospheric emissions of, say, carbon dioxide, ammonia, NOx, and so on, should be understood as nothing more than setting and enforcing traffic laws. The same would go for…
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Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?
Posted inStatistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…
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The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase
Posted inStatistics

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

In my long studied career of insolence and rough defense of Reality, not to mention my general constitutive abrasiveness---I was "born that way"---I have been called every variety of choice…
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Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID
Posted inStatistics

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

I changed the title to put TWID = The Week In Doom at the end. I did this long ago, too, and found it answered. Hilarity Ensues Students, by definition,…
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Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos are already a half hour. I can't see your faces so…
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William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Thanks to EMM for the donation! I was interviewed by Duncan Thorin Shields (he goes by Thorin) last week. He asked the best questions I think I've ever been asked.…
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  1. Polybius on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Now that I have thought more about this I think one of our biggest problems in all fields from climate…

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    Evolution. As Stephen Jay Gould once sort of said, the lack of a single example in the fossil record of…

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    Sigh. Just read a lot more from the London School. The first thing you have to decide, before you even…

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    Anything to do with extraterrestrial aliens, aka God, visiting and messing with humans using their superior technology. Plenty of humans…

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