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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Anti-Tobacco Lobbying Is Bad For You

There is a smoking story making the rounds here in New York. Seems the New York State Legislature has cut funding thirty-percent to its anti-smoking program. These cuts were over…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Are Men Smarter Than Women?

The Question No. That is to say, Yes. But not really. Actually, what we have here is an badly phrased question: just what do we mean when we ask "Are…
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Posted inStatistics

Actions Speak Louder Than Words: Guest post by Frank Wallace

Join me with welcoming Frank Wallace, a person with not a little experience in operating under conflicting government regulations. The subject of uranium mining and its various proscriptions and prescriptions…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Confidence Intervals, Logic, Induction

Induction "Because all the many flames observed before have been hot is a good reason to believe this flame will be hot" is an example of an inductive argument, and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Truth of Things: When Probability & Statistics Cannot Be Used

I am always struggling with (my limited ability of) finding ways to describe the philosophy behind logical probability, especially to people who have a difficult time unlearning classical frequentist theory.…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Poem Code Challenge Solution

Back in September we surrendered to our geek roots and described poem codes. These are a handy method of enciphering short messages in the absence of electronic equipment. A poem…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is Experimental Economics Irrational?

Everybody knows there's no such thing as money. So how come everybody acts like it's real? In particular, why do economists and other similar creatures find the lack of "rationality"…
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Posted inStatistics

My Answers to Willis Eschenbach’s 14 + 2 Questions

Repost Mr Eschenbach had not had the chance to respond to this article before the two weeks wherein comments are automatically closed have elapsed. This re-post will allow him, and…
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  1. John M on AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)January 14, 2026

    I asked an AI: if the big bang theory is true, where is the center of the universe? The answer…

  2. hudbwu on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 14, 2026

    @R W Pearson: Okay good, we're talking about it. If I understood Correia correctly, he offers the following defence: "the…

  3. Tim on AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)January 14, 2026

    Absolutely true! After rephrasing or submitting more factual information, I get even more dismissive replies. Yeah, there are certainly "No…

  4. John M on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 14, 2026

    I think law enforcement needs to revisit how they respond to vehicles. If a vehicle is classified as a deadly…

  5. Rudolph Harrier on AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)January 14, 2026

    One actually useful feature of public LLMs is to see what questions the establishment doesn't want you to ask. If…

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