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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

In Defense Of Peter Kreeft: A Response To Brafford

Peter Kreeft, a philosopher whose surname does not sound like it is spelled, placed in Touchstone the article "Clashing Symbols: The Loss of Aristotelian Logic & the Social, Moral, &…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example

How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Does The Regression Equation Mean? Causality? Something Else?

Saw this tweet this fine morning: https://twitter.com/MarkThoma/status/276542962622668800 and downloaded the paper at the landing site, co-authored by Judea Pearl, he of Causality fame (a recommended book). Pearl and a co-author…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Presidential Polls Work: D+7 or R-3 And All That

Unleash the polls! No, I don't mean the men who bravely served under Grand Duke of Lithuania Władysław II Jagiełło (free bad joke of the day!), but those election omens…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Aristotle On Non-Contradiction: Why UN Chief Ban Ki Moon’s Views On Free Speech Are Invalid

The simplest version The Philosopher gave is this: It is impossible to hold the same thing to be and not to be. If something is a "Quantum Superposition" it cannot…
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Posted inBook review Culture Philosophy Statistics

Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part Last: Skulls Full Of Nothing

Don't Think Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part Last. Buy the book ($12.92 as of last glance). There is a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

True Value Of A Parameter

Jelle de Jong writes in to ask: Working as a quant analyst in finance I recently got interested in the Briggsian/Jaynesian/Bayesian interpretation of probability but am still struggling a bit…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part II

McKibben's Folly Suppose it is true that we have E = "A six-sided object, just one side of which is labeled 6, and when tossed only one side will show."…
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  1. Tars Tarkas on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    "The Drake and Fermi are not flawed logically: one can put probabilities to any question." The Drake equation always struck…

  2. NLR on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    There may or may not be extraterrestrial life, but if we ever see some, I suspect there will be surprises.…

  3. Douglas Skinner on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    The other bookend paired with the Drake/Fermi speculations is Evolution. In this January's edition of First Things Magazine comes a…

  4. C-Marie on Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor KillingsDecember 29, 2025

    God loves you. Let Him take you home when it is time. In the mean time, give to our Father…

  5. C. P. Benischek on Merry Christmas!December 29, 2025

    God Rest Ye Merry, Gentle Briggs! Don’t dismay, Christmas isn’t yet over, but rather just warming up. A Child is…

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