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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part II

Read Part I Cap & Trade & Tax & Spend is not dead. It was never even ailing. It's healthy and alert and standing in the corner, unnoticed. It has…
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Posted inStatistics

2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I

Let's suppose everything you have heard about global warming is true. It really will warm by a half-degree Centigrade by 2050, or even by three-quarters of a degree, or whatever.…
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Posted inStatistics

Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast

Update No extra charge for today's initially misspelled headline. It is a logical fallacy to say that it OK for John to lie, cheat and steal because Mary lied, cheated…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Science News Statistical Article: Odds Are, It’s Wrong

Many (thank you everybody!) people sent me the "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article by Tom Siegfried and have asked me to comment. Below are the key points; I will assume…
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Posted inStatistics

Obamacare Predictions: Part I

Here are some things I think will happen if Obamacare is passed. When I say "you" or "your", I mean "people on average." Obviously, some people will benefit. This is…
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Posted inStatistics

Randomized Trials Are Not Needed

I promised this article a long time ago: I hope these well known calculations are enough to give the gist. Randomized controlled trials are supposed to be the gold standard…
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Posted inStatistics

Final Healthcare Showdown: Government vs. Liberty

There's Nancy Pelosi, Six Gun of State strapped to her side, the sun burning overhead. And there's you, armed only with Freedom, thirty paces off. It's a standoff! If you…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II

Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Interesting, but he could have said everything he had to say in half as many words.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Whatever women's intellectual deficiency, they make up for it with raw animal cunning.

  3. Dan MacDougald on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Paul Johnson, the great British Historian, in his "History of the American People," the US started down the road to…

  4. Marbles! – William M. Briggs on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    […] I am on the road and am way behind on posts—I have a 3,500 word article on deriving Oughts…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    For the past 48 hours, I've been considering a fundamental, structural, problem with marbles; " Marmorism". Some people will accumulate…

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