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The Broken Science Initiative Podcast Has Commenced!
Posted inPodcast Statistics

The Broken Science Initiative Podcast Has Commenced!

Here's the main link. Most, and maybe even all, the platforms you use are linked. Or you can even listen at the site itself. The episodes I recorded are mostly…
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On Breaking Climate Records — And Not Panicking
Posted inStatistics

On Breaking Climate Records — And Not Panicking

Thucydides in The Peloponnesian War speaks of Athenian prisoners dying from "variation in the temperature" in the conditions they were kept. Athens itself suffered deadly droughts at least in the…
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There Is No Such Thing As A Fair Coin
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Such Thing As A Fair Coin

Not only is there no such thing as a "fair" coin, there are no "fair" dice, either. Or "fair" anything. Which I shall prove to you. From Khan Academy, a…
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Congress Mandated Experts Design Plan To Block The Sun — And Kill Us All
Posted inStatistics

Congress Mandated Experts Design Plan To Block The Sun — And Kill Us All

The White House itself, the very bastion of Experts, issued the report "CONGRESSIONALLY MANDATED RESEARCH PLAN AND AN INITIAL RESEARCH GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK RELATED TO SOLAR RADIATION MODIFICATION" (pdf). Mandated. I…
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The Randomized In Randomized Controlled Trials Is Pure Superstition; Bad Magic
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The Randomized In Randomized Controlled Trials Is Pure Superstition; Bad Magic

Why You Need To Read This My dear readers, a complex subject today, presented in the guise of a book review. We are increasingly beset by lunatic psychotic sociopathic rulers…
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A Partial Solution For The Replication Crisis In Economics
Posted inStatistics

A Partial Solution For The Replication Crisis In Economics

I was invited by friends at Banking University, in Ho Chi Minh City, to write a paper with the title of today's post. That paper is here at this link,…
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(Yet Another) New Paper Proves There Is No Nitrogen “Crisis” In The Netherlands
Posted inStatistics

(Yet Another) New Paper Proves There Is No Nitrogen “Crisis” In The Netherlands

There is in the Netherlands a concocted "nitrogen crisis", which has all the earmarks of a manufactured panic. I don't mean in the conspiratorial sense. I mean in the Expert-created…
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How Can A Man Who Loses A Race Be Called The Winner & What Does This Have To Do With Science?
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Can A Man Who Loses A Race Be Called The Winner & What Does This Have To Do With Science?

In which we start simple, stay simple, come to Plateau Easy, and the readers begins to wonder why he bothers, which he discovers at the end to his puzzlement. Get…
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  1. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

  3. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…

  4. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  5. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

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