An unfocused post today; just some notes on a paper. Busy day for me. Andrew Curtis wrote, “The science of subjectivity” in the January 2012 issue of the journal Geology (sent to […]
The Great Bayesian Switch
Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us once we […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III
Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that “increased” means a combination of “linear increase” and […]
The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part IV (finally the end!)
Read Part I, Part II, Part III. This is the missing Part, which was promised a year ago. We’re all tired of this subject, and there are so many other things to […]
What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update
Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar have been […]
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV
In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used probability model: […]
Stats 101: Chapter 8
Here is the link. This is where it starts to get complicated, this is where old school statistics and new school start diverging. And I don’t even start the new new school. […]
Starting to lose you: Stats 101 Chapter 9
Here is the link. The going started getting tough last Chapter. It doesn’t get any easier here. But stick with it, because once you finish with this Chapter you will see the […]
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