By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their parametric posterior […]
Joe Nocera — read his Lockdowns Haven’t Proved They’re Worth the Havoc — sent us an article from the Washington Post which discusses how much money the lockdowns saved us. Economists at […]
The WHO itself, the unquestionable unimpeachable unerring medical authority, tells us that as many as four million died in the pandemic. Not one million. Not two million. No, sir, not even three […]
This week traditionally is a slow week on the blog, so let me have a go at explaining something I’ve explained a few hundred times before, a thing which has not yet […]
FRENCH FARCE La Nation doit une réponse à ceux qui ont été le plus touchés par la crise. À notre jeunesse, qui a tant sacrifié alors qu’elle risquait peu pour elle-même. À […]
Because certain forms of Bayesian probability, particularly so-called subjective probability, are being taken up in quantum mechanics, it’s well to understand just what subjective probability is, if it’s anything, and how belief […]
Received this email from Valentin Amrhein et al. about the efforts to jettison for all time “significance”. And replace it (say I) with this. If only I could get the powers that […]
The answer is yes. Or, if you prefer, no. It depends. Here’s a long query about the subject from friend-of-the-blog Kevin Gray. Over the years many have disagreed about many things with […]
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