Posted inStatistics
The Conceit of AI
It helps every time you hear "AI" to think "statistical model". Because, of course, that's what AI is. Statistical models layered with clever data processing, that is. Curve fitting. Saying…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Probability Is Not Frequentist, Nor Math, Nor Real, Nor Subjective
I once had a guy walk out on me at a scientific conference, full of my peers. He and I were disagreeing about the nature of probability. The exact words…
Posted inStatistics
More “Racist” AI: Blacks Pegged As Bigger “Haters” Than Whites
Ezra Klein, lead explainer over at Vox, needs to have direction of cause explained to him. He tweeted "leading AI models for processing hate speech were one-and-a-half times more likely…
Posted inStatistics
Notes On AI Accuracy (Facial Recognition)
Here's a tweet (addressed to Judea Pearl), "If you could get rid of all the spurious non causal correlations in a machine-learning model, you would be left with only the…
Posted inStatistics
Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online
Video Here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLFDjRS_928 And here is Greg's talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6VMcIp21mA Transcript I followed this closely during the speech, but did not adhere to it perfectly. I don't have a…
Posted inStatistics
AI Is Kicking Statistics’s Ass
Here's the headline: "AI can predict when someone will die with unsettling accuracy: This isn't the first time experts have harnessed AI's predictive power for healthcare." Unsettling accuracy? Is accuracy…
Posted inStatistics
Ghost In The AI
There's a terrific book, well worth scoring a copy, by M. Lamar Keene called The Psychic Mafia. Keene tells the tale of Camp Chesterfield, a sort of outlet shopping mall…
Posted inStatistics
How’d We Do On Our 2022 Predictions?
We had a great many predictions for 2022, so many that it would tedious for list them all. Therefore, to shorten this, I'll only highlight the best, or worst, or…
