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Science Without God Is Incomplete
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Science Without God Is Incomplete

Either God exists or He does not. If He does not, then science does not matter. Nothing does. Anything anybody does is mere prejudice, whim. There is no good, there…
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Dutch Book: Or, How to Gamble
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Dutch Book: Or, How to Gamble

This post first appeared sometime before 2012, but I lost the original date due to the hacking. If you are a gambler, you'll be delighted to learn that there is…
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Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One

Remember before when we agreed nothing has a probability? Bully. So if no thing has a probability, neither does abiogenesis, since abiogenesis is a thing. Since abiogenesis is a thing…
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Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…
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Proof Cause Is In The Mind And Not In The Data
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Proof Cause Is In The Mind And Not In The Data

Pick something that happened. Doesn't matter what it is, as long as it happened. Something caused this thing to happen; which is to say, something actual turned the potential (of…
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Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting

Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…
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Chapter 1 Excerpt from <em>Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics</em>
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Chapter 1 Excerpt from Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics

Buy the book! Necessary & Conditional Truth Given "x,y,z are natural numbers and x>y and y>z" the proposition "x>z" is true (I am assuming logical knowledge here, which I don't…
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Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part II
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part II

Read Part I. A researcher puts you into a room. On the table is a blue ball. Somebody put it there. It could have been Alice, Bob, or Charlie. Given…
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  1. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    John W, Garrett, You are welcome.

  2. Richard S. on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    I'm sorry but must correct the record. I have been a radio fan since the early 1960s -- AM, FM,…

  3. John W. Garrett on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    S.Sgt Briggs, Thanks for this near-perfect example of sophistry and thimble-rigging.

  4. Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…

  5. JDinPA on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    CCReed: That’s a disturbing take on the late Z-Man in at least two senses: 1) If true, Z-Man was perpetrating…

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