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The Statistics Of Stopping Power
Posted inStatistics

The Statistics Of Stopping Power

It is a slow week, and a week of Thanks, so let's spend our time with some fun things. Like a fascinating study by Greg Ellifritz on "An Alternate Look…
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Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”
Posted inStatistics

Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”

I'm stealing this from Spectator, which has done science right. It shows the UK's SAGE Expert models for covid. In each case, the gray and others colors are the model…
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The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
Posted inStatistics

The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis

The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
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The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition

News is that Regime put out a new law, bypassing Congress as usual, in the form of an "executive order", about "AI". The new law's title is "Safe, Secure, and…
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What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
Posted inStatistics

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…
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Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science
Posted inStatistics

Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science

My favorite headline of late is from Stat, which I'll reveal in a brief moment. First, as I was discovering that headline, I saw the site's top crawl, which asked…
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First Look At The FBI Crime Stats For 2022: I Don’t Even Have To Explain Per Capita
Posted inCulture Statistics

First Look At The FBI Crime Stats For 2022: I Don’t Even Have To Explain Per Capita

The FBI released its crime report for 2022, and I thought it instructive for us to examine homicide numbers. Homicides from 1985--2022. Now it is, or should be, obvious that…
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Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices
Posted inStatistics

Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices

Robert Sapolsky, a Stanford academic, took decades---decades, he says---to conclude he does not have free will. He chose now as the time to tell us of his decades-long, fruitless search…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?October 10, 2026

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    Assuming a 100% materialist world view, one must conclude that one's OWN thought processes are just so many particles exchanging…

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