Posted inStatistics
Solution To The Kind-Hearted Magician — REVEALED!
Kip Hansen last week gave us the following scenario (which I've pared to bare essentials here, but check the original if you fret): START Sam shows us three cards, two…
Posted inStatistics
Boris Says Be A Girl For Great Reset; CDC Counts Vaccinated Differently; Kentucky Court Victory; The New HCQ Paper; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXV
JUICING NUMBERS https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1402708260344500226 He who controls the data controls The Science™ (I repeat myself.) WE TOLD YOU SO I don't like recommending long videos, and rarely do it. I recommend…
Posted inStatistics
The Kind-Hearted Magician — Guest Post by Kip Hansen
We have had a lot of seriousness over the last year. Covid Madness, possibly wonky elections, riots of the Left and riots of the Right, petty criminals become heroes and…
Posted inStatistics
Fabulous Fauci Falters; Vexxine Causes Most Harm In Those Least Needing It; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIV
FABULOUS FAUCI FALTERS This is one on many threads concerning The Fauci Emails, which sounds like a tacky late-80s cold-war thriller. https://twitter.com/GraduatedBen/status/1399939387924811780 It's all there (complete link?): masks don't work,…
Posted inStatistics
The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
Posted inStatistics
Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests
This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…
Posted inStatistics
Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines; The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII
WE CONTINUE The consensus---and we never buck consensii; consensuses?---was to keep these updates going for the time being, but expanding their scope. I have therefore cut back on some of…
Posted inStatistics
Academics Fail To Prove COVID Lockdowns Were Painless and Effective
Maybe you have a story like this. A barber I know was shut down by one of the lockdowns various state governments experimented with during the coronadoom panic, in a…