Search Results for “model” – Page 91

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Statistics

Statistics Mailbag

Because of my new gig and then my two-week sojourn at Cornell I am way behind in acknowledging all the emails and blog tips I have received. Nearly all stories…

Culture Statistics

More Proof Music Is Growing Worse

New proof (which wasn't really need) that popular music is, as has long been claimed, been growing worse has arrived thanks to the diligent work of Joan Serrà and his…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part IV (finally the end!)

Read Part I, Part II, Part III. This is the missing Part, which was promised a year ago. We're all tired of this subject, and there are so many other…

Statistics

Supplement For Your Tea

This is meant to clear up some confusion in the Lady Tasting Tea series, which featured a problem people hoped would be easy. Here are two possible outcomes, comparing the…

Philosophy Statistics

Scientific Truths Are Not Better Truths Than Just-Plain Truths

One of the key fallacies of scientism, in the sense of being the most destructive to common sense and personal wellbeing, is to suppose that any theory put forth in…

Statistics

Observational Bayes > Parametric Bayes > Hypothesis Testing < Looking

This is a completion of the post I started two weeks ago which shows that "predictive" or "observational" Bayes is better than classical, parametric Bayes, which is far superior to…

Culture Statistics

NASA Faked Moon Landing—Academic Psychologists Swoon, Tie It To Climate Change

One day a terrific psychological study is going to be written on the madness and mass lunacy which arose after climate change swam into the public's ken. I don't mean…

Briggs on Class 5: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Induction & IntellectionMay 9, 2024
WD Sparling, More like induction-argument. Math-induction does not give us first principles; it uses them.
Jan Van Betsuni on Do Our Rulers Really Believe What They Say They Believe & What To Do About ItMay 9, 2024
I recently met a young freelance journalist (EU-Citizen) whose career field is Climate-Change-Reporting. Her coverage is global. No disaster whether…
W.D. Sparling on Class 5: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Induction & IntellectionMay 9, 2024
Mathematical induction (infinite induction, transfinite induction) - are those variations upon induction-intellection?
Paul Murphy on Do Our Rulers Really Believe What They Say They Believe & What To Do About ItMay 8, 2024
Two things: 1 - I think the semantics on this might be clearer if you used sincerity and realism as…
Baba Yaga on Do Our Rulers Really Believe What They Say They Believe & What To Do About ItMay 8, 2024
Having known the educated types that work in an office setting, probably 30% of them are privately with us and…