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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy

Quantum Mechanics & Free Will: Guest Post by Bob Kurland

This post originally appeared in longer form at Bob's place. There's a lot of meat here; I recommend biting it off in small chunks. "Of course I believe in free…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Malthus’ Proof That Welfare Leads To Increasing Need For Welfare

First person that giggles at my hand drawings gets a mean look. My computing facilities are somewhat lacking... This of course is only a cartoon, but a helpful one of…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Voting (And Wisdom Of The Crowds)

First read Wisdom of the Crowds (and Voting). There are in this great land of ours some 315 million souls. Citizens, I mean. Another 12 millions (or so) are, as…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Wisdom Of The Crowds (And Voting)

Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re? One of the participants of the Great Harem Conspiracy under Ramses III? Probably not. But I need to know the length of his nose right…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Atheism And Its Problem Of Evil

Evil is a problem for atheists because, for them, it does not exist absolutely. But if you are atheist and think it does exist absolutely, let me ask you, What…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Regression Really Is: Part III

Read Part II Which x's to pick? Unfortunately, there is an infinite universe from which to draw---and here we come closer to resembles. It could be, for instance, a person's…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Regression Really Is: Part II

Read Part I Let's continue our example. Suppose our regression shows that the probability of a Hate score greater than 5 is 60% for men and 80% for women---for people…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Does 1+2+3+… Really Equal -1/12?

Infinity is not a number, it is a place. It lies just to the left of the Undiscovered Country. Nobody knows what it is like there, because nobody has seen…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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