Briggs

Don’t Panic, But Intelligent Design Is Trivially True (Breathe, Breathe…)

This post, a follow-up to yesterday's, originally ran 4 August 2016. What I mean by intelligent design (which is perhaps not what you mean by it) is that All There…

Philosophy Statistics

Science Without God Is Incomplete

Either God exists or He does not. If He does not, then science does not matter. Nothing does. Anything anybody does is mere prejudice, whim. There is no good, there…

Statistics

Pick A Random Number From 1-10

For even more edification, read this article in German: Denken Sie an eine Zahl zwischen 1 und 10. I'm picking a number between 1-10. What is the probability of you…

Culture

This Week In Doom — It-Must-Be-Progressed Edition

Item Scientific communism "I Survived Communism -- Are You Ready For Your Turn?" By Zuzana Janosova Den Boer "It was scientifically proven that communism is the only social-economic system providing…

Fun

The Atlantic Wants Help In Creating A New Holiday. Let’s Help!

The Atlantic, the magazine that thinks well of itself, wants to create a new holiday, the old ones having grown stale. With that in mind: We're in search of a…

Culture

Liar’s Logic — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I enjoy listening to creative liars. Good lying takes work, you know. Hard work. You have to remember so many things you've said. And you've got to weave everything just…

Statistics

Proof Global Warming Is Asinine

Now that the Democrats are poised to triumph over the House, we shall soon daily hear from the likes of Nancy Pelosi and the appalling Raul Grijalva on the tedious…

Statistics

New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof

Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…

gareth on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 8, 2025
Well, having made it all the way through, my takeaways were: 1. The answer to the question, "what is the…
NLR on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025
It can't be simulations all the way down because a simulation needs an underlying reality to simulate. But also, in…
McChuck on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025
There is only one reality. Our perceptions of it may differ. Reality is real. The map is not the territory.…
JH on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayDecember 8, 2025
Adding a constant of 200 to the equation will not eliminate the so-called probability leakage, which is essentially a result…
JH on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 8, 2025
With m = (1,2,3,4,5,6) x 10, and a = 0.02, then Pr(E_b|mB) = 0.99998. So the weird m would indeed…