Briggs

How Many Lousy Predictions Until Error Is Admitted?

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Update Breitbart kindly asked to reprint this, and just did. How long does it take for an expert who has, year upon year after year, made predictions of unrealized…

Fun Statistics

Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups

Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…

Culture Statistics

Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…

Culture

Bill Nye Says, “Let’s Talk” About Global Warming. Okay, Let’s.

This article was co-authored by Willie Soon. If anybody has a way to contact Bill Nye, make sure he sees this. Bill "The Science Guy" Nye went on CNN recently…

Fun

Help This Reader Out: Best Science Material For Kids?

A reader writes (I've stripped out personal details): Dr. Briggs, I recently came across your work on The Stream. I was hoping you could point me to a resource or…

Philosophy

The I-Must-Be-Right-Because-I-Can’t-Think-Of-Another-Reason Fallacy

The I-Must-Be-Right-Because-I-Can't-Think-Of-Another-Reason---or IMBRBICTOAR, pronounced, in Latin, im-bri-bictor---has always been with us, but its use has latterly accelerated because of our culture's fascination with self-esteem. Schools and universities in the West…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Truth

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. There is…

Culture Statistics

This Week In Doom: Bad Science Edition

3 out of 4 scientists agree The bagatelle about how more than half of published research is wrong---a fact well known to regular readers---is garnering comment hither and yon. Joanne…

NLR on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025
One might wonder why, after billions of dollars spent building up infrastructure, paying workers to program and "train" (calibrate) this…
Briggs on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025
Michael, No, it's the code. The code says "Take this X and do this and such to it," where X…
Michael 2 on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025
The Large Language Models (LLM, ChatGPT kind of thing) use code to process training data. The output is NOT determined…
Hagfish Bagpipe on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025
HagFISH. Sheesh
Hagfush Bagpipe on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025
Briggs, watching you work is like watching an expert woodsman split wood. You have a keen eye for the natural…