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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inFun

Open Thread: What To Chat About Next?

It is once again Travel Day---or was: I'm writing this in state of advanced jet lag. So, in lieu of thought I've written this little introduction to nothing, hoping you…
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Posted inStatistics

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…
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Posted inCulture

Make Colleges Co-Signers Of Student Loans?

As often has been said, if everybody is a genius, then nobody is. The wisdom in this apothegm is little changed by the modification: if everybody has a certification of…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Science Explains Belief In God Through Genetics

Let's look at "Life's Extremes: Atheists vs. Believers", a piece on Live Science (the home of unexpurgated university press releases; hat tip to HotAir). The article is itself slight---it begins…
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Posted inStatistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…
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Posted inStatistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…
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  1. Rich on Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice ScienceOctober 14, 2025

    How does it make sense to use a model that says, "Tornados do not occur" using data that says they…

  2. Milton Hathaway on Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice ScienceOctober 13, 2025

    In the spirit of "all models are wrong, but some are useful", I'm willing to take a closer look at…

  3. Mark Miller on Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice ScienceOctober 13, 2025

    This post my move you up on the Hague's list. If you were a betting man would you bet the…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG WayOctober 9, 2025

    47 > 46

  5. Lou on Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG WayOctober 9, 2025

    68 > 67

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