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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A New (Old) View Of Statistics. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 11

It is often difficult to keep in mind all the links in a chain of argument when that chain is long.1 This is especially so when one expects that chain…
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Posted inStatistics

Regression Examples. Normal Distributions Often Stink. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 10

Today, just one example, and the simplest kind, to show you that using regular regression, with its assumptions of "normality", can quickly lead to absurdities---absurdities which will pass unnoticed using…
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Posted inStatistics

Picking X’s In Regression. The Role Of Relevance. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 9

Be sure to first read Statistical Significance Does Not Mean What You Think. Climate Temperature Trends then Regression Is Not What You Think. Climate And Other Examples, as this post…
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Posted inStatistics

Regression Is Not What You Think. Climate And Other Examples. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 8

Be sure to first read Statistical Significance Does Not Mean What You Think. Climate Temperature Trends, as this post is an extension of it. As yesterday: If y is some…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistical Significance Does Not Mean What You Think. Climate Temperature Trends. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 7

There are a subset of professional statisticians---defined as folks who have had formal training in the field given to them by other professionals---who feel that the field of statistics is…
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Posted inStatistics

The Purpose Of All Statistics. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day5

First, and most strongly, probability need not have anything to do with data. For example, we can compute a value for the probability that "Matt wears a hat" given the…
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Posted inStatistics

Combinatorics. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 4

I often use this example, last night given as homework: if you have a bottle of bourbon, one of scotch, and another of beer, how many ways can you pour…
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Posted inStatistics

Chain Of Argument. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 3

One thing can be proven with near certainty: do not stay up late the night before you must write an article on a subtle philosophical topic. I cannot prove that…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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