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Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…
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Posted inStatistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Job Wanted: Tall Statistician Seeks Match

I am hoping that among my faithful readers there is somebody that knows somebody who might know a guy who's looking for a statistician. The economy is such that consulting…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Scientific Concept Would Improve Everybody’s Cognitive Toolkit? Edge

Long-time reader Randy Brich reminds us all to head over to Edge.org and read the responses to the 2011 World Question given in the title. It will be worth your…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    Well then Tars, if depopulating China is your goal, they should definitely end restrictions on births. Because the fewer the…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    @Tars Tarkas While living in China, I never felt a need for more people or cars. I did, however, often…

  3. Tars Tarkas on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    I don't know why they get all upset about the TF. When things change, things change. We are wrecking our…

  4. Johnno on The Consent FallacyJanuary 7, 2026

    Briggs, you FOOL! Even though I consented to reading this article by clicking on it, I have had regret and…

  5. Johnno on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 7, 2026

    Alright, time to spread out the money... 1. EASY WEATHER PREDICTION: - A.I. and Cloud Data Centers continue to sky-rocket…

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