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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story

I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…
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Posted inCulture

New York City Democrats Remove Yet Another Right: No Smoking In Parks

The party that ever has "Rights!" on its lips, the party with the mania about diversity, the party that is most anxious that religious fundamentalists will take over and impose…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…
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Posted inStatistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts IncomesMarch 3, 2026

    87 octane gasoline averages $4.67 per gallon in California today. Oil refineries are being driven out of the state by…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts IncomesMarch 3, 2026

    "...accounts for how climate change has affected each county’s economy..." Seriously? He looked at the economies and climate effects of…

  3. Uncle Mike on Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts IncomesMarch 3, 2026

    George had to cross the Delaware during the Little Ice Age. That affected the climate. So did the 18th Century…

  4. Tars Tarkas on Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts IncomesMarch 3, 2026

    Now tell him to do a paper on how much poorer we would be without fossil fuels. George Washington would…

  5. Paul on Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts IncomesMarch 3, 2026

    Ah, but the CI passes through zero.

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