Briggs

St Petersburg Paradox; Games and Statistical Decisions; RIP David Blackwell

David Blackwell, who died two weeks ago, was one of the first mainstream statisticians to "go Bayesian." And for that and his unique skill in clearly explaining difficult ideas, we…

Statistics

How to Fool Yourself—And Others—With Statistics

See the news box to the left. I wrote this long ago and never used it. I do not love it. But since I am so busy, I haven't the…

Statistics

US Military Fatality Statistics: Have Suicides Increased?

All statistics were gathered from this DOD site. 2010 numbers were current as of 5 June this year; they were not part of the plots below. In 1983, the year…

Culture Philosophy

‘The Most Dangerous Philosopher in the West’

Extremely busy day, today. I have time for only the merest sketch of a post. The title is not mine, but a label given to Slavoj Zizek, the rock-star communist…

Culture

Paper or Plastic? Environmentalism as Public Religion

Therefore when thou doest thine alms, do not sound a trumpet before thee, as the hypocrites do in the synagogues and in the streets, that they may have glory of…

Fun Statistics

World Cup Predictions Verified

All that was missing was the water for the players to plunge into. Still, referee Howard Webb must be a fan of the aquatic and artistic sport of diving, and…

Culture

Global Warming Set To Song: Withering in the Heat

Little Aitan Grossman, just age 13, and cute as hell, has taken Honorable Mention in the 2010 Action For Nature International Young Eco-Hero Awards! A hero---an eco hero---and only 13!…

Fun Statistics

The Predictive Skills of Octopii: Paul’s World Cup Prognostications

In Detroit, for that glorious game of soccer-on-ice-with-sticks, we---I still say "we"; you can never separate yourself from your birthplace---know what to do with octopuses, octopii as were: We toss…

McChuck on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025
There are apples in the sack at midnight. I offer three distinct proofs. 1) The countably infinite steps are (+10…
Heresolong on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025
This is why I hate probability. But here's my take, and I'll go with P=0. Each action, addition and removal,…
Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 26, 2025
All those religions based texts are a combination of fiction, politics, philosophy and living life advice, that sort of thing.…
hudbwu on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 26, 2025
@Uncle Mike: the thing with prophecies in the Book of Revelation (and really all Biblical prophecies) is that they come…
Uncle Mike on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025
I'm convinced that Joe Biden is The Antichrist. It all fits: the head injury (aneurysms), rising from the dead (Auto…