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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inCulture Philosophy

‘The Most Dangerous Philosopher in the West’

Extremely busy day, today. I have time for only the merest sketch of a post. The title is not mine, but a label given to Slavoj Zizek, the rock-star communist…
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Posted inCulture

Paper or Plastic? Environmentalism as Public Religion

Therefore when thou doest thine alms, do not sound a trumpet before thee, as the hypocrites do in the synagogues and in the streets, that they may have glory of…
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Posted inFun Statistics

World Cup Predictions Verified

All that was missing was the water for the players to plunge into. Still, referee Howard Webb must be a fan of the aquatic and artistic sport of diving, and…
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Posted inCulture

Global Warming Set To Song: Withering in the Heat

Little Aitan Grossman, just age 13, and cute as hell, has taken Honorable Mention in the 2010 Action For Nature International Young Eco-Hero Awards! A hero---an eco hero---and only 13!…
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Posted inFun Statistics

The Predictive Skills of Octopii: Paul’s World Cup Prognostications

In Detroit, for that glorious game of soccer-on-ice-with-sticks, we---I still say "we"; you can never separate yourself from your birthplace---know what to do with octopuses, octopii as were: We toss…
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Posted inCulture

Students Studying Less: Shocking Report

A new campus joke: "Dude, she was all like, 'What's that building? It's, like, so big.' And I go, 'That's the library. There's like so many books." Ha ha ha…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Symmetry, Priors, Logical Probability, Infinities, and Needless Paradoxes

One reason why some reject the notions of logical probability and Bayesian statistics is because it is said that assignments of probability under symmetry generate paradoxes. However, as I will…
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Posted inStatistics

Lady Wins Fourth Lottery: What Are the Odds?

I'm in the wild blue yonder today; so here is a distraction. Thanks to reader Jade for suggesting the topic. Nobody can scratch better than Las Vegas resident Joan Ginther,…
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  1. gareth on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 8, 2025

    Well, having made it all the way through, my takeaways were: 1. The answer to the question, "what is the…

  2. NLR on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025

    It can't be simulations all the way down because a simulation needs an underlying reality to simulate. But also, in…

  3. McChuck on The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As SimulationDecember 8, 2025

    There is only one reality. Our perceptions of it may differ. Reality is real. The map is not the territory.…

  4. JH on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayDecember 8, 2025

    Adding a constant of 200 to the equation will not eliminate the so-called probability leakage, which is essentially a result…

  5. JH on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 8, 2025

    With m = (1,2,3,4,5,6) x 10, and a = 0.02, then Pr(E_b|mB) = 0.99998. So the weird m would indeed…

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