Briggs

M. Night Shyamalan, Mel Gibson, and John Wayne

Part II of the Two-Envelope problem was not too friendly, so here's something that is. Via HotAir, I came across the site Marginal Revolution, in which was featured a graph…

Philosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part II

Read Part I first. We are in the peek first game here. The distribution of N When X is odd, and all X are discrete, we know we should always…

Philosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part I

Another probability "paradox", the two-envelope problem1, goes like this: Before you are two envelopes, A and B. One of them contains $X and the other $2X (which is equivalent to…

Culture Fun

Four Chords Is All You Need: The Limited Nature of Pop Music

Coming tomorrow: the infamous two-envelope problem, solved! More mathematical constructivism. But today, as it's Sunday, something light and airy...and non taxing. A "comedy rock" group which bills itself as the…

Statistics

St Petersburg Paradox; Games and Statistical Decisions; RIP David Blackwell

David Blackwell, who died two weeks ago, was one of the first mainstream statisticians to "go Bayesian." And for that and his unique skill in clearly explaining difficult ideas, we…

Statistics

How to Fool Yourself—And Others—With Statistics

See the news box to the left. I wrote this long ago and never used it. I do not love it. But since I am so busy, I haven't the…

Statistics

US Military Fatality Statistics: Have Suicides Increased?

All statistics were gathered from this DOD site. 2010 numbers were current as of 5 June this year; they were not part of the plots below. In 1983, the year…

Culture Philosophy

‘The Most Dangerous Philosopher in the West’

Extremely busy day, today. I have time for only the merest sketch of a post. The title is not mine, but a label given to Slavoj Zizek, the rock-star communist…

Brian (bulaoren) on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
So, "Epsilon Minus" murderers would face the executioner? Maybe you really can fix stupid...
Willis Eschenbach on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
Thanks, Matt. I've been saying this (although far from as eloquently) for a while. If a person is so mentally…
Robert Arvanitis on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the perpetrator…
Joe Blow on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
I would proffer from a species standpoint, REMOVING exceptionally low IQ individuals from the gene pool should be carried out…
Tim O. on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
ALL the concern over IQ and competency is the same smoke screen used as "motive" is commonly used: If the…