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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part V, The real Grand Finale

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Much of what we discussed---but not all---is in this picture. Right click and open it in…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part IV

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V How much patience do you have left? On and on and on about the fundamentals, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajama’s Media: Global warming accelerating once again

Surf on over to Pajamas Media for today's update. "I'm from the U.N. and I'm here to help."
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part III

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V We still have work to do. This is not simple stuff, and if we try and…
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Posted inFun

Schedule, Taiwan, More Homogenization

Landed in Taipei last night, after a bumpy fourteen-hour flight. I think the angry Air I teased last week was taking its revenge. From now, I'll have nothing but nice…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Homogenization of temperature series: Part II

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Aside: counterfactuals A counterfactual is statement saying what would be the case if its conditional were…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part I

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Introduction Time to get technical. First, surf over to Willis Eschenbach's gorgeous piece of statistical detective…
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Posted inStatistics

San Francisco Chronicle can’t make up its mind about global warming

In today's print edition, above the fold, is the item: Climate change: The Obama administration declares that global-warming from man-made greenhouse gases endangers health. Note carefully that it has declared…
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  1. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  2. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  3. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

  4. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…

  5. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

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