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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The limits of statistics: black swans and randomness

The author of Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, has penned the essay THE FOURTH QUADRANT: A MAP OF THE LIMITS OF STATISTICS over at Edge.org…
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Posted inBook review

Transforming American Military Policy

Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Military Policy by Frederick W. Kagan, 2006. Encounter Books. Recommendation: read This book is an excellent accounting of the theories that have gripped…
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Posted inBook review

Calculated Risks: How to know when numbers deceive you: Gerd Gigerenzer

Gerd Gigerenzer, Simon and Schuster, New York, 310 pp., ISBN 0-7432-0556-1, $25.00 Should healthy women get regular mammograms to screen for breast cancer? The surprising answer, according to this wonderful…
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Posted inBook review

“The Future of Everything” by David Orrell

The Future of Everything by David Orrell. Thunder's Mouth Press, New York. I wanted to like this book, which was supposed to be an examination of how well scientists made…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Algebra of Probable Inference: Richard T. Cox

This is a lovely, lovely book and I can't believe it has taken me this long to find and read it (November 2005: I was lead to this book via…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Rationality of Induction: David Stove

Is deductive logic empirical? No. Is inductive logic also empirical? No. Is induction justified and, if so, is it just an extension of logic? Yes. These are Stove's conclusions as…
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  1. John Pate on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 13, 2026

    Supposedly AI is making everyone dumber. We can achieve equality via AI, there's nothing it can't do.

  2. John Pate on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 13, 2026

    Qualia are the key to intelligence and not epiphenomena. Fancy auto-complete will never think.

  3. Christopher C Reed on Another Academic Says Climate Skeptics Criminals Against Humanity And Other Name CallingFebruary 12, 2026

    Congratulations on your promotion to Ringfueher, er...Ringleader! I suppose there may now be an opening for Henchman?

  4. Brian. (bulaoren) on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    A lot of Americans have come to suspect that the "dumbing down" of the population is a real, and deliberate…

  5. Heresolong on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    I can't but I don't understand most of the abbreviations. I look forward to your analysis.

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