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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture

Snot-nosed Brown University Brats Throw Temper Tantrum

When is the last time you saw a bratty kid throw a temper tantrum? If you were a professor at an American university, probably right after midterms. But if you…
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Posted inCulture

Marines To Allow Females In Ground Combat

Answer this plain question honestly. Should the Olympics and other major sporting events eliminate distinction by sex? That is, should the 100 meter dash (do they still call them "dashes"?),…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Rick Santorum Says Devil Pwons Hollywood

Santorum was out flogging a movie in which he has an interest---The Christmas Candle---and was heard to say of more traditional Hollywood fare that "the Devil for a long, long…
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Posted inCulture Fun

The Most Depressing Picture Of The Year

Ladies and gentlemen, the most depressing picture of the year. Yes, worse than the pic of Joe Biden bringing muffins to lock-ins during the government shutdown. These, my dear readers,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Tea Partiers Know As Much Science As Enlightened Lefties?

So this Dan Kahan, Yale prof of something-or-other, devised himself a science quiz. "The center of the Earth is very hot [true/false]." That sort of thing. He gave the quiz's…
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Posted inCulture Fun

The Night Fred Astaire Shot Up Broadway

From hellion Fred Astair's autobiography Steps In Time, Harper & Row, New York, 1981 edition, p. 34. The year was about 1910 [emphasis mine]: I'll always remember Dick Moeller shooting…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Anti-Human Leader: Every Woman, Everywhere, Could Have Contraception

"Isn't she pretty. What's her name?" "Susan. After my grandmother." "Have you had her fixed yet?" Don't fret! That's a conversation you won't be hearing. Because why? Because, of course,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pascal & Barzun On Scientism

Blaise Pascal was a man smarter than I and smarter than thou. He was a scientist, mathematician, probabilist, and was deeply, deeply Catholic. Pascal as scientist warned against trusting science…
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  1. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  2. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  3. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

  4. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

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    I didn't come here for ~two months. Then I come back and ... *shit's gotten weird, son.* o.O At least…

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