Philosophy – Page 101 – William M. Briggs

Pascal & Barzun On Scientism

Blaise Pascal was a man smarter than I and smarter than thou. He was a scientist, mathematician, probabilist, and was deeply, deeply Catholic. Pascal as scientist warned against trusting science…

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Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example

Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…

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What Do Means Mean?

Update In order that it does not get lost over the weekend, part two of this post will run on Sunday. This is part one of a two part post,…

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The Alternative To P-Values

I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…

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Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…

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On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…

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On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

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On The Evidence From Experiments: Part II

Read Part I first. Outcome 3. This sound like good news for you, since all treatment Bobs got better and no placebo Bobs did. Congratulations! The treatment might have caused…

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions – William M. Briggs on Is Laverne Cox Still A Man? Or, The Coming Transgender WarsFebruary 10, 2026
[…] and infiltrating the public in earnest about a dozen or so years ago. (In 2014 I wrote, “Is Laverne…
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026
C-Marie, I knew you could.
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026
Andrew, No, they're just bad model predictions. See the "hallucination" article I referenced.
Andrew P Partington on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
Gödel’s incompleteness theorem proves that no apparently complete logical system can rule out the paradox (“this sentence is not true”)…
C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie