Philosophy – Page 129 – William M. Briggs

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

The rules of logic are simple. Use whatever evidence you have, and no other, to figure the probability of a conclusion. These rules are all we need to understand what…

Culture Philosophy

Studies Show Mike McQueary Did What You Would Have Done

A lot of wrist-twisting and hand-wringing over Mike McQueary's actions after he came across Penn State Coach Jerry Sandusky raping a 10-year-old boy in the showers. McQueary, who Mark Steyn…

Culture Philosophy

The Selfish Genes Of Dennett’s Atheists

If you're not busy this December 2nd and 3rd, and happen to be in the Buffalo area, you might drop in on the Center for Inquiry's symposium "Daniel Dennett and…

Philosophy Statistics

Inuitionist Math & Probability: Riemann Hypothesis Example

The principium tertii exclusi, the principle or law of the excluded middle, what is that? If there is a proposition B then it is either the case that B is…

shawn marshall on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025
Israel - Waiting for Godot for 2000 years = a stiff necked people Islam - Satanic Verses - also denies…
hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025
There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…
hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025
There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…
hudbwu on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025
I just looked at some (apparently "AI"-generated) statistics. It seems USA is on track to deport 500k people this year…
hudbwu on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 25, 2025
So.. does Chanda Prescod-Weinstein think of herself as black? I mean, I'm reasonably sure she thinks of herself as Black,…