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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Logical Probability And The IPCC’s Ambiguous Forecasts

This post is inspired by Roger Pielke, Jr., as well as Bernie, Matt, and other readers who asked me to have a look at some IPCC probability statements. Roger Pielke,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Journal Editor Still Inserting Politics Into Science: Trevors and Saier Strike Back

The story thus far: Jack Trevors, bigwig at the learned journal Water Air Soil Pollution, and occasionally along with his pal Milton Saier, has been in the habit of abusing…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Air Force Forced To Drops Ethics From Nuclear Weapons Ethics Training

The Center for Inquiry, that group of ex-CSICOP members turned rogue skeptics, has condemned---condemned!---the United States Air Force for teaching Just War theory in its Nuclear War Ethics course. This…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

David Stove, PMS Admakers Apologize For PMS Apology Ad, San Franciscan Criminals, More

David Stove David Stove has a posthumous essay, put out in book form: What’s Wrong With Benevolence: Happiness, Private Property, and the Limits of Enlightenment. There is a review at…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Some Common Global Warming Fallacies

The level of debate on global warming is shriekingly poor. Not that I have any hope of convincing the world to reject bad logic, but here are some of the…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Economic Fallacy, Greenpeace, David Suzuki, And Global Warming

"You can't believe what that guy says. He research was funded by Greenpeace!" The person uttering this sentence has committed the economic fallacy, which is the belief that the truth…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bathroom Stage Fright A “Real Condition” : Scientists Again Prove What Was Already Known

In standard science-report prose, MSNBC begins: Given the choice, you probably prefer your home porcelain throne to using a public toilet. But for more than 20 million people in North…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Casey Anthony And The Probability of Guilt

What is the probability that Casey Anthony is guilty of murder? High, but according to twelve men and women honest and true, not high enough. High enough is supposed to…
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  1. Zundfolge on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 10, 2025

    The simplest solution is the Freedom of Association one (with a touch of cancel woke; ie eliminate all discrimination laws…

  2. Mark Rhodes on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 10, 2025

    Robert Frost said it best: a Liberal is a man too broad-minded to take his own side in a fight.

  3. shawn marshall on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 10, 2025

    when in the military from 1969 to 1971 I was disabused of and notion of the Holy black man -…

  4. hudbwu on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 10, 2025

    Yeah, if you need this much math to SEE the signal in the first place, then the state didn't whack…

  5. Briggs on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 9, 2025

    gareth, Excellent point. See this week's class.

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