Philosophy – Page 132 – William M. Briggs

Logical Probability And The IPCC’s Ambiguous Forecasts

This post is inspired by Roger Pielke, Jr., as well as Bernie, Matt, and other readers who asked me to have a look at some IPCC probability statements. Roger Pielke,…

Philosophy Statistics

Journal Editor Still Inserting Politics Into Science: Trevors and Saier Strike Back

The story thus far: Jack Trevors, bigwig at the learned journal Water Air Soil Pollution, and occasionally along with his pal Milton Saier, has been in the habit of abusing…

Culture Philosophy

Air Force Forced To Drops Ethics From Nuclear Weapons Ethics Training

The Center for Inquiry, that group of ex-CSICOP members turned rogue skeptics, has condemned---condemned!---the United States Air Force for teaching Just War theory in its Nuclear War Ethics course. This…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

David Stove, PMS Admakers Apologize For PMS Apology Ad, San Franciscan Criminals, More

David Stove David Stove has a posthumous essay, put out in book form: Whatâ€™s Wrong With Benevolence: Happiness, Private Property, and the Limits of Enlightenment. There is a review at…

Philosophy Statistics

Some Common Global Warming Fallacies

The level of debate on global warming is shriekingly poor. Not that I have any hope of convincing the world to reject bad logic, but here are some of the…

Philosophy

The Economic Fallacy, Greenpeace, David Suzuki, And Global Warming

"You can't believe what that guy says. He research was funded by Greenpeace!" The person uttering this sentence has committed the economic fallacy, which is the belief that the truth…

Philosophy Statistics

Bathroom Stage Fright A “Real Condition” : Scientists Again Prove What Was Already Known

In standard science-report prose, MSNBC begins: Given the choice, you probably prefer your home porcelain throne to using a public toilet. But for more than 20 million people in North…

Philosophy Statistics

Casey Anthony And The Probability of Guilt

What is the probability that Casey Anthony is guilty of murder? High, but according to twelve men and women honest and true, not high enough. High enough is supposed to…

Edward on Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says AcademicAugust 24, 2025
What really concerns me most is the pedantic feeling that “solutions” to problems aren’t what we mean. The way I…
Rudolph Harrier on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 23, 2025
P-values enable a lot of shenanigans, and they are dangerous because most of their "honest" users trust them too much…
John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025
...and another thing: in Fisher's works first understanding the distribution of what you're measuring in population you are sampling from…
JH on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025
Since your definition of p-values is not entirely correct, FYI - understanding p-values and different meanings of p-value
John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025
To be fair to R.A. Fisher he warned people were over-enthusiastic about applying the tools he provided. He wasn't as…