Chapter 4 is ready to go. This is where it starts to get weird. The first part of the chapter introduces the standard notation of “random” variables, and then works through a […]

Three is ready to go. I should re-emphasize one of the goals of this book. It is meant to be for that large host of unfortunates who are forced—I mean required—to take […]

Chapter 2 is now ready for downloading—it can be found at this link. This chapter is all about basic probability, with an emphasis on understanding and not on mechanics. Because of this, […]

UPDATE: If you downloaded the chapter before 6 am on 4 May, please download another copy. An older version contained fonts that were not available on all computers, causing it to look […]

Today, another brief (in the sense of intellectual content) essay, as I’m still working on the Madrid talk, the Heartland conference is this weekend, and I have to, believe it or not, […]

A few weeks ago I speculated what would happen if human-caused significant global warming (AGW) turned out to be false. There might be a number of people who will refuse to give […]

The old saying that “You can prove anything using statistics” isn’t true. It is a lie, and a damned lie, at that. It is an ugly, vicious, scurrilous distortion, undoubtedly promulgated by […]

In 1914, there was a consensus among geologists that the earth under our feet was permanently fixed, and that it was absurd to think it could be otherwise. But in 1915, Alfred […]