There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…

Do We Need Philosophy, Or Can Science Replace It?

You see the news? Woman pretending to be a man walked into a school and murdered a bunch of kids. "I know what you're going to say. You're going to…

The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved

Let's end the review of Sabine Hossenfelder's book. We did some already: Emergence, Entropy, and Many Worlds. With this post, we'll have covered the most interesting topics. Old Hoss, and…

Emergence Comes From Nowhere, Does Nothing, Goes Nowhere, But Still Becomes Theory

We return to reviewing Sabine Hossenfelder's, a.k.a. Old Hoss's, new book Existential Physics. First part (many worlds), second part (entropy). If you knew all there is to know about hydrogen…

What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?

Our main goal is to learn if or how a theory can be falsified. Sound easy? It isn't. In order to get there, we first need to grasp what is…

Experts: Stop Us Before We Let AI Become Aware & Kill Us All!

To reify, v: consider an abstract concept to be real. Now the Scientist was more cunning than any Expert in the field which the Dean had made. And he said…

What If There Were TransRays?

Anon writes: I was having a discussion earlier about the clown world we find ourselves in, specifically "transgender" stuff, and along the way an interesting question came up. Suppose some…

Bringing Order To Disordered Views Of Entropy

This is the second post reviewing Sabine Hossenfelder's new book Existential Physics. First is my criticism of Many Worlds. If you are short of time, skip to the bottom today.…