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The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy
Posted inPhilosophy

The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy

There is a special kind of argument you hear only from academic Experts. Non-academic non-Experts never use it; or, if they do, I've not seen any example (beyond parroting AEs).…
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How The Laws Of Physics Lie
Posted inPhilosophy

How The Laws Of Physics Lie

The title is Nancy Cartwright's, from her book of the same name, and from an article which forms Chapter 3, "Do the Laws of Physics State the Facts?" No, she…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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Do We Need Philosophy, Or Can Science Replace It?
Posted inPhilosophy

Do We Need Philosophy, Or Can Science Replace It?

You see the news? Woman pretending to be a man walked into a school and murdered a bunch of kids. "I know what you're going to say. You're going to…
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The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved

Let's end the review of Sabine Hossenfelder's book. We did some already: Emergence, Entropy, and Many Worlds. With this post, we'll have covered the most interesting topics. Old Hoss, and…
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Emergence Comes From Nowhere, Does Nothing, Goes Nowhere, But Still Becomes Theory
Posted inBook review Philosophy

Emergence Comes From Nowhere, Does Nothing, Goes Nowhere, But Still Becomes Theory

We return to reviewing Sabine Hossenfelder's, a.k.a. Old Hoss's, new book Existential Physics. First part (many worlds), second part (entropy). If you knew all there is to know about hydrogen…
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What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?
Posted inPhilosophy

What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?

Our main goal is to learn if or how a theory can be falsified. Sound easy? It isn't. In order to get there, we first need to grasp what is…
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Experts: Stop Us Before We Let AI Become Aware & Kill Us All!
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Experts: Stop Us Before We Let AI Become Aware & Kill Us All!

To reify, v: consider an abstract concept to be real. Now the Scientist was more cunning than any Expert in the field which the Dean had made. And he said…
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  1. NLR on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 5, 2025

    An idea for a what are the odds post: Jeanne Calment's longevity challenged, partially by statistical modelling.

  2. FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 5, 2025

    […] Political Analysis, Punditry, and News:What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election? – William M. Briggs,…

  3. Briggs on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Spetzer86, Sure. It won't change much. Better yet, we can investigate the cause of each death, which tells us ALL…

  4. spetzer86 on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Wouldn't the span of time the deaths happened in figure into the final probability? The value used is for a…

  5. John Pate on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Number seven just took the big sleep.

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