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The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
Posted inStatistics

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

Bad news, friends. Some people---none of you, I am sure---pass off AI as if it were their own work. There is a certain profession, which I'll won't reveal except to…
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A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
Posted inStatistics

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

As happens throughout history, named persons end up meeting. In this case, Carl Jung and Wolfgang Pauli. As this article says: Jung and Pauli struck an unusual friendship, which lasted…
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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
Posted inStatistics

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

We previously, and briefly, discussed The Paper Test (see the articles on limitations at bottom here), which is an argument that computers, including those laden with AI, are not alive,…
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Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
Posted inStatistics

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

If I had to pick one paper to represent why the Class is so important, about why so much which passes for science is unworthy, it might be the peer-reviewed…
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Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
Posted inStatistics

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

I sat down with Wilbur Salazar, who runs the brand new Faith Deposited site and YouTube channel, and had a chat about the philosophy of science and religion. Well, I…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

Ressentiment and hurt feelings over lose of prestige has hit many academic scientists hard. The ebbing away of respect and deference was not something they prepared for. They were taught,…
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  1. Johnno on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I'm panicking about the people who believe enthusiastically in the capabilities of the AI that the other people are panicking…

  2. Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…

  4. Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…

  5. JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026

    The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…

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