Posted inStatistics
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
Since we had so much fun with the never-gonna-happen Red-Blue Button dilemma, I present to you the HR trilemma. A New & Improved puzzler with 50% more lemma! You have…
Posted inStatistics
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
A priest argued that the murderer kidnapper rapist ex-FedEx driver Tanner Horner deserved death for crimes so terrible even Stephen King wouldn't allow himself to ponder them, but, said the…
Posted inStatistics
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
Let's first remind ourselves of The Poor Have Less Money Fallacy. This is most commonly seen when the price of a thing rises (which often happens because of government "solutions"),…
Posted inStatistics
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
Richard Dawkins reminds us of the important but neglected Big Muscles Fallacy: "I spent three days trying to persuade myself that Claudia is not conscious. I failed." Here's an equivalent…
Posted inStatistics
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Posted inStatistics
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
A curious question made its way around the interwebs recently, and not for the first time. By itself, it does not appear to be that interesting. And it isn't, really.…
Posted inStatistics
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
Regular readers know I have been predicting our return to the 1970s (here and here). Not directly, you understand. There will be no bell-bottom pants or leisure suits, but only…
Posted inStatistics
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…