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New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing

Here's a link to the PDF. Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. The Replacement for Hypothesis Testing. In Structural Changes and Their Econometric Modeling, Springer, V Kreinovich, S Sriboonchitta…
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The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Last December 19th President Trump ordered the withdrawal of 2,000 American troops from Syria. The New York Times called the action "abrupt and chaotic" and reported: The decision brought a…
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A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
Posted inStatistics

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…
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The Probability Of Your Existence
Posted inStatistics

The Probability Of Your Existence

A version of this column originally ran 7 July 2014. To the nearest order of magnitude, there have existed, including us, about 100 billion human beings. This proves what was…
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The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!
Posted inStatistics

The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!

In honor of Monty Hall, who passed away this past weekend (in October 2017), this classic article (which ran long ago, the date lost due to the hacking, solving his…
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How Many Geniuses Are There?
Posted inStatistics

How Many Geniuses Are There?

This post originally appeared 15 September 2008. Here is a question I often give on exams: What is the probability that the next child to be born will be a…
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The Probability of Monkeys Typing Shakespeare
Posted inFun Statistics

The Probability of Monkeys Typing Shakespeare

This article, which originally appeared 20 May 2010, was inspired by reading Fredwin On Evolution, as wisely suggested by reader Bob Ludwick. At the bottom of Fred's piece, there appears…
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Dutch Book: Or, How to Gamble
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Dutch Book: Or, How to Gamble

This post first appeared sometime before 2012, but I lost the original date due to the hacking. If you are a gambler, you'll be delighted to learn that there is…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    A quarter-inch-drive ratchet with a set of sockets doesn't answer any moral and ethical questions, but it's damned useful. Merry…

  2. Uncle Mike on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    Christmas is another question Science has no explanation for. Joy and peace to you and yours.

  3. Faith on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    Briggs, you're the best! Merry Christmas!

  4. Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science – William M. Briggs on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    […] older version of this post originally ran 12 November 2016. All scientific successes in morals and ethics since then…

  5. Johnno on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    The NSW government’s Terrorism and Other Legislation Amendment Bill 2025 passed the NSW upper house early on Wednesday morning, 24…

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