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Ladies & Gentlemen, We Are Losing
Posted inStatistics

Ladies & Gentlemen, We Are Losing

There are many stories, but this one is as good as any other. Long-time school teacher Peter Vlaming was fired for saying these words: "Don't let her run into the…
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What Lousy Philosophy Tells Us About Belief In Global Warming
Posted inStatistics

What Lousy Philosophy Tells Us About Belief In Global Warming

One reason people doubt global-warming-of-doom is because of lousy philosophers like N. Ángel Pinillos (note the New York Times-sophisticated inclusion of the accent). He wrote a piece entitled (in some…
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Biostatisticians: They Asked Us To Lie!
Posted inStatistics

Biostatisticians: They Asked Us To Lie!

The paper is "Researcher Requests for Inappropriate Analysis and Reporting: A U.S. Survey of Consulting Biostatisticians" by Min Qi Wang, Alice F. Yan, and Ralph V. Katz in Annals of…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
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Some Curious Results In World Poverty Rates — With Update People Say They Want (But Don’t)
Posted inStatistics

Some Curious Results In World Poverty Rates — With Update People Say They Want (But Don’t)

The tweet above is from Human Progress. Thanks to @WrathofGnon for the tip. It shows the number of people by region who live "in poverty". It is a stacked line…
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Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…
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Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help
Posted inStatistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…
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The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials
Posted inClass Statistics

The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials

There was a paper a short while back, "Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results", by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows. Krauss says,…
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  1. Johnno on How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?December 31, 2025

    I was right about the right! Conservative estimating does work! Always aim for mediocrity! The formula for success! Or at…

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    Seems to me the obvious reason for the state of the world as we see it is that aliens are…

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    Wow, I have never been as far off as I was this last year. I'll have to give some thought…

  4. Chaeremon on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 31, 2025

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