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The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism
Posted inStatistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism

Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…
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So-Called Random Numbers And Encryption: Update With Real-World Example
Posted inClass Statistics

So-Called Random Numbers And Encryption: Update With Real-World Example

Psst. Hey, buddy. Word to the wise: "GQNZWZURUDPBFWDMEGBYIXGBGZRSVNHWOIQPPSH GXUVMZ". Keep it secret. That odd string of letters and spaces (well, once space) contains an encrypted message. In order to read…
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Case Study Of How Easy It Is To Go Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Case Study Of How Easy It Is To Go Wrong

We used to talk a lot about the amygdala here: Yet Another Study "Proves" Liberal, Conservative Brain Differences (wee ps, amygdalas), Scientists Suddenly Discover Men Don't Understand Women (wee ps,…
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When Testing Parameters Might Make Sense
Posted inClass Statistics

When Testing Parameters Might Make Sense

This example is derived from ongoing conversations with a colleague, and portions of this post (mathematified) might show up in a paper. The genesis of this example is from Ron…
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SAT’s Adversity Score New Way To Enforce Racial Quotas
Posted inStatistics

SAT’s Adversity Score New Way To Enforce Racial Quotas

The College Board will soon attach Pity Points to SAT scores. The Pity Points will be used to suggest that those who scored poorly did not in fact score poorly…
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An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument
Posted inStatistics

An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument

This is extracted from this set of papers, which should be read in full. An ordinary regression model is written      mu = beta_0x_1 + ... + beta_0x_p, where mu…
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Many Atheists Still Believe In Higher Powers—Whatever Those Are
Posted inStatistics

Many Atheists Still Believe In Higher Powers—Whatever Those Are

A new report on atheists is of interest. It's "Understanding Unbelief: Atheists and agnostics around the world: Interim findings from 2019 research in Brazil, China, Denmark, Japan, the United Kingdom,…
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Post-Approval Drug Failures: More Reasons To Eliminate P-values & Parameter-Centric Methods
Posted inStatistics

Post-Approval Drug Failures: More Reasons To Eliminate P-values & Parameter-Centric Methods

Some comments on the JAMA: Internal Medicine article "An International Perspective on Drugs for Cancer: The Best of Times, the Worst of Times" by Richard Lehman. Drugs increase fast, and…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    I just read an article based on "studies" that attempted to panic me about the potential deadliness of down-filled pillows…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    Threat avoidance seems pretty instinctual. Threat awareness, on the other hand, depends upon the scope of information before us. Sadly,…

  3. Tars Tarkas on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    "What are these airy indefinite words? Propaganda, that’s what." Propaganda is the default setting for the English language press. Most…

  4. Tony Cooke on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    The description of the possible transfer of the Hanta virus reminded me of the woman who sang "I danced with…

  5. The Errors of Mr. Coffin on the PP signature and Apostolic Blessings – Roma Locuta Est on Munus, Ministerium & Pope Emeritus Benedict — Guest Post by Fr John RickertMay 16, 2026

    […] However, for the record I will note that myself and others (e.g., Ryan Grant, and Fr. John Rickert, HERE…

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