Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Falsifiability Is Falsifiable
We've talked many times before, and at greater length in Uncertanity, about the concept of falsifiability. It has come up again lately. The term shouldn't be but is equivocal. I…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VII
Review! This is our last week of theory. Next week the practical side begins in earnest. However much fun that will be, and it will be a jolly time, this…
Posted inStatistics
Real Versus Fake Fake News: Update
Stream: Real Versus Fake Fake News On the last day of bad old year, Lake Superior State University released its 43rd annual List of Words Banished from the Queen's English…
Posted inStatistics
How’d We Do On Our 2017 Predictions?
How'd we do? Not so hot. We missed big events; but then, 2017 was a screwy year with our continued slide into Insanity & Doom accelerating. As Yogi Berra may…
Posted inStatistics
In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.
Stream: On the Left, Bad Politics Leads to Bad Science (Insanity & Doom updates resume after Christmas.) "All I Want For Christmas Is Full Communism Now". Not I. It is…
Posted inStatistics
Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper
Update at bottom. I was asked by Axel Bojanowski, Science Editor at Der Spiegel to examine the Science paper "Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations" by Anouch Missirian and Wolfram…
Posted inClass Statistics
Cliodynamics And The Lack Of A Hari Seldon
There will be no Hari Seldon. But there will be prophets. If there is no Seldon, there will be no psychohistory, the fictional astonishingly accurate mathematical science predicting gross human…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI
Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time…