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Posted inStatistics

How To Resolve All Probability Paradoxes: Apples In Sack Example

Via Alexander Bogomolny?: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Pew: Partisan Divides Over Political Values Widen, Part II

Read Part I first. On the subject of Islamic violence (see the picture leading the article), Pew says: While overall public views have shifted only modestly, the partisan gap on…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Pew: Partisan Divides Over Political Values Widen, Part I

Pew has a survey out which measures, sort of, our increasing political and cultural apartness (a.k.a. apartheid). The gap between the political values of Democrats and Republicans is now larger…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Most Depressing (Government) Graph

Stream: The Most Depressing (Government) Graph There is no one picture that can capture the inexorable rise and reach of Leviathan, but if you had to pick just one, the…
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Posted inStatistics

How Suspicious Is It To Win The Lottery Multiple Times?

So this Pennsylvanian named Nadine Vukovich "a Mechanicsburg veterinarian, has claimed 209 scratch tickets, each worth $600 or more, over 12 years. Collectively she's won about $350,000." This streak caused…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

SJWs Coming For Mathematics

Stream: SJWs Coming For Mathematics Great news! For those kids who will be taught math by teachers graduating from Texas State University's Math Education program, life just got easier. This…
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Posted inStatistics

Do Not Read This Article On Why You Don’t Have Free Will

There is a certain charm in a fellow who can bring himself to write "We humans like to think of ourselves as mindful creatures" while intimating it isn't so. Yet…
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Posted inStatistics

Clever Statistical Method To Discover Fraud (Or Mistakes)

This is in the I-wish-I-had-thought-of-it category. A simple tool that suggests where fraud or major malfunctions in statistical research might exist. First, a description of the tool; second, a description…
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  1. Philip Rogan on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Brian, good comment. A coincidence is only a coincidence to the person to which the coincidence occurred.

  2. John Pate on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Now do Synchronicity.

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  4. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  5. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

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