Statistics – Page 163 – William M. Briggs

Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper

The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…

Culture Statistics

Which Statistics Grad School If You’re Sick Of Hocus-Pocus P-values?

I received this query from a reader and thought it important enough for all of us to answer. I was hoping you could provide some advice for an aspiring statistician.…

Philosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

Writer Says Discovery Of Extraterrestrial Life Would Be Bad News For God. God Says Nope

The danger of writing about that in which you are ignorant is that you're bound to look foolish. Let's see an example. Jeff Schweitzer, who bills himself as a scientist…

Philosophy Statistics

The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause. New Paper

Cancer of the albondigas is horrifyingly under-diagnosed. See your doctor today and ask him if Profitizol is right for you. Today's post, in a way, is at Arxiv: The Crisis…

Culture Statistics

Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science

Today's post is at the Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science. The excerpt here keeps my caveman joke which was lost somewhere downstream. Jerry…

Philosophy Statistics

Bread From Something Or Nothing? Or, What’s A Miracle?

We interrupt our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles for this brief message. You've heard of the miracle of loaves and fishes? What's a miracle? How do miracles happen? Read these…

Philosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…

Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 30, 2025
@Briggs, "Many say various oaths and whatnot, but looking at their behavior it’s clear most have no idea what these…
Maypo on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025
Wow, (re)reading a TOFian essay makes it so blasted plain how much I miss the man. May he rest in…
C-Marie on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025
God is, and always has been, and always will be. It is your choice to exercise your free will, to…
hudbwu on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025
> If I were God, and loved rational creatures, I would make myriad rational species; He should come back in…
NLR on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025
What gets me about these kind of arguments is that they presuppose too much. People will have extensive debates about…