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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space!

Today's post is at The Stream: "Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space: Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his co-authors fail to show their precautionary principle provides any guidance in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Climate Change Alarmists Appear Immunized Against Reality at The Federalist

Today's post is at The Federalist: "Climate Change Alarmists Appear Immunized Against Reality". So Ars Technica sent a young man who bills himself as an "educator" and hydrologist to the…
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Posted inStatistics

Idols With Wee P Values. Statistics As Ritual

Or, rather, wee p-values are idolized. And it isn't just me saying so. Reader Dan Hughes points us to Gerd Gigerenzer and Julian Marewski's peer-reviewed paper "Surrogate Science: The Idol…
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Posted inStatistics

Cheating With Polls Down Under. Guest Post by Stephen Dawson

Today's post is from our friend Stephen Dawson, who writes at hifi-writer.com. I scheduled this in advance, knowing I'd be suffering jet lag. Professor Will Steffen from the Australian National…
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Posted inStatistics

The Need To Believe In “The Solution” To Global Warming

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HgM1yhwj1mg Travel day, plus I wanted to have this on its own anyway. Speech given at the Tenth International Conference on Climate Change, June 12, 2015 in Washington, DC. The…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Corrigan Brothers’ Statistics Song. Finally Released!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_k2j96hpEkM Ladies and Gentlemen, it has arrived. The world famous Corrigan Brothers have another hit! What they did for Barack Obama in their mega-smash There's No One As Irish As…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Stream: The Scientific Pantheist Who Advises Pope Francis

Today's post is at The Stream, "The Scientific Pantheist Who Advises Pope Francis: The scientist who influenced Laudato Si, and who serves at the Vatican's science office, seems to believe…
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  1. Terry oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    DEAR BRIGGS; YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FACT THAT tHE PRINCIPLES OF REASONING ARE 'ENTROPY MINIMAX,' AS DESCRIBED BY…

  2. JH on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionAugust 1, 2025

    But... all human expressions about God are generally made under the premise of "if I were God." lol

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    Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…

  4. Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…

  5. polybius on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025

    If I were God the word would not be as it is The world is as it is therefore I…

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