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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Who’s Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

Stream: Who's Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls? The NBC News story "Female Doctors Outperform Male Doctors, According to Study" makes these bold claims. Patients treated by women are…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Mugging Is Silly: Events Don’t “Have” Probabilities

Before we begin, see this similar article about a different mugging scenario, which demonstrated that all probability is conditional and that decision isn't probability. Here's the serious version of Pascal's…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Statistician to the Stars For Hire!

Herein our semi-annual reminder that the purpose of this blog is mercenary. Filthy lucre is both impetus and goal of its daily readings. Moola, the spondulicks, the government's glory, the…
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Posted inStatistics

Muggings, Nuclear Devices, Probability & Decision

Somehow I ended up on the curious site LessWrong.com, directed by somebody with the nickname Yud (from Eliezer Yudkowsky). Odd isn't in it. Investigating it led me to Reddit and…
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Posted inStatistics

Don’t Use Statistical Models (When You Don’t Have To. Which Is Nearly Always)

Today, a convincing argument proving the current practice of probability and statistics is mostly wrong, or wrong-headed. The picture above does---and does not---show herbicide use in several countries by year…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Science Asks: Why Are Angry Atheists Annoying?

What's more annoying than an atheist who harangues passersby about "rationality"? Easy answer: a scientist who announces a discovery about human behavior that was known by everybody since Adam. Our…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientific People Understand Reality Less, New Research Didn’t Study

Headline: Religious people understand the world less, study suggests, which derives from the peer-reviewed paper "Does Poor Understanding of Physical World Predict Religious and Paranormal Beliefs?" in Applied Cognitive Psychology…
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Posted inBook review Fun Statistics

The Full Briggs?

Our friend Joseph Moore at Yard Sale of the Mind, a site surely on everybody's list already, whose photograph appears atop this post, wrote It doesn't get much more civilized…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    Every day there's some paper or article claiming that something is good for you, followed the next day by some…

  2. spetzer86 on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    Always fun watching the lectures.

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    The epidemiologist fallacies are always enjoyable. It seems that there is a rash of scientists now saying that previous scientists…

  4. Tars Tarkas on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    "The unsweetened kids were born late 1951 to 1954, while the sugar-available kids were born after rationing ending in July…

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    It's also not coincidental that the control group is, by the standards of the study, entirely younger than the test…

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