Statistics – Page 167 – William M. Briggs

On Coincidence And Fortune: Why So Many One-Eyed Generals?

Plutarch opens his Life of Sertorius with these two sentences: It is perhaps not a matter of surprise, if in the lapse of time, which is unlimited, while fortune is…

Culture Statistics

Stream: Dice Games Prove Evolution Because Humans Believed In Punitive Gods?

Today's post is at the Stream: Dice Games Prove Evolution Because Humans Believed In Punitive Gods? Answer this question: could you, by counting the number of coins some guy puts…

Culture Statistics

What Happens If You Take Away Women’s Birth Control?

The titular question is in earnest, dear reader, just as it was for Amanda J. Stevenson and four others. Yes, those fine academics were just as perplexed as you probably…

Statistics

Science Confirms Astrology! Plus, Machine Learning, Big Data, And Causes

Health signs The alternate title to today's post, suggested by reader Kip Hansen, is "Data scientists find connections between birth month and health". Don't scoff. We're talking peer review and…

Philosophy Statistics

Gravitational Waves And Discovering Cause

You'll have heard by now that the existence of gravitational waves have been "confirmed." The scare quotes are intentional, but not in the sense that I (necessarily) disbelieve in the…

Statistics

Regression Can’t Prove Discrimination

Anybody out there a lawyer, or do you know one, who is involved on the side of angels in these so-called discrimination lawsuits? Have them contact me. The argument that…

Philosophy Statistics

Infinity, (Physical) Parameters, Fine Tuning, & Probability

Via Ed Feser I was led back to Alvin Plantinga's Where the Conflict Really Lies: Science, Religion, and Naturalism, which has a lot about probability. I'll not do much of…

Statistics

Iowa Caucus Open Discussion. Update: Text Fixed, Those Coin Tosses Discussed

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/694224471712878592 That tweet was my prediction early yesterday, which I made partly relying on polls but more on the size of the crowds those two men garnered. About those polls,…

McChuck on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026
Everybody remembers the Nazi book burning. The Left won't shut up about it. Almost nobody talks about what books were…
NLR on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026
The main reason people believe in AGI is because they want to. People want a superintelligent machine that will solve…
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions – William M. Briggs on Is Laverne Cox Still A Man? Or, The Coming Transgender WarsFebruary 10, 2026
[…] and infiltrating the public in earnest about a dozen or so years ago. (In 2014 I wrote, “Is Laverne…
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026
C-Marie, I knew you could.
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026
Andrew, No, they're just bad model predictions. See the "hallucination" article I referenced.